Cuyahoga County • June 27, 2025
Good morning, Cuyahoga County. The economic landscape is shifting beneath our feet as 70% of regional businesses brace for impact from higher tariffs. According to the Cleveland Fed's survey, most firms expect to face the classic economic squeeze—higher input costs they'll need to pass on to customers, potentially dampening demand. Manufacturing stands as the lone optimistic sector, with a quarter of businesses seeing potential silver linings amid the changing policies.
Meanwhile, a demographic milestone has quietly arrived: Cleveland now has more seniors than children for the first time in its history. We're just the third major metro area to experience this significant shift, joining Providence and Hartford in this exclusive club. As Federal Reserve Bank President Beth Hammack focuses on community development initiatives addressing housing affordability and workforce challenges, these demographic changes add another layer to our evolving economic story.
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📊 Businesses brace for higher tariffs and tighter immigration policies. According to the Cleveland Fed's Survey of Regional Conditions and Expectations, 70% of firms across Ohio, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and West Virginia expect negative impacts from tariff increases. Most anticipate rising input costs (76%) and plan to pass these increases on to customers (62%), while expecting decreased demand (61%). Manufacturing contacts were most optimistic, with 25% anticipating positive impacts. Meanwhile, over three-quarters of businesses report no hiring impacts from recent immigration policy changes.
👵 Cleveland's population now has more seniors than kids for first time. The metro area joins Providence and Hartford as the only million-plus population cities experiencing this demographic shift. Census data reveals that nationwide, the number of metro areas with more older adults than children has nearly doubled from 58 to 112 since 2020. This trend reflects broader national patterns where the 65+ population grew by 3.1% while those under 18 decreased by 0.2% in the past year. Additionally, the U.S. median age reached a record high of 39.1 years, highlighting the country's gradually aging population.
🏦 The Fed champions community development through "paying it forward" approach. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack highlighted the Fed's commitment to addressing housing affordability and workforce development challenges at the Policy Summit 2025. The Fed's community development efforts, rooted in the 1977 Community Reinvestment Act, focus on research and outreach to promote economic growth in low-income areas. Recent surveys reveal housing affordability and access to good-paying jobs remain major concerns across communities. Hammack encouraged attendees to share knowledge gained at the summit with their communities to build stronger, more sustainable economic environments.
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